XRP Price Outlook: Reduced Leverage Points to $1.24 Retest Amid Weak ETF Inflows

1. XRP price rose 4% to $1.13 with a 6.1% weekly gain as of July 21, 2026 Newsworthy Reliable Very positive
2. XRP's open interest is 3.5% of market cap, much lower than Ether’s 12%, signaling lower leverage risk Newsworthy Reliable Positive
3. XRP futures-to-spot turnover ratio is 6.0, indicating lighter derivatives activity than Bitcoin and Ether Relevant Reliable Neutral
4. Spot XRP ETF inflows were weak at $6.78 million from July 13 to 17, totaling $992 million in assets Newsworthy Reliable Negative
5. XRP ETF assets represent about 1.4% of market cap, much less than Bitcoin ETFs’ 5.9% penetration Relevant Reliable Negative
6. Maintaining $1.13 support paves way for resistance at $1.24 to $1.28 and potential move to $1.35 Newsworthy Plausible Positive
7. A drop below $1.06 could lead to declines toward $1.02 and a $0.88–$0.92 range Relevant Plausible Negative
8. Federal Reserve's meeting on July 28–29 may increase market risk and volatility Relevant Reliable Negative

Type: standard news · Analysis confidence: 95%

Used in syntheses

• ChatGPT forecasts XRP price at $1.35 by Q3 2026 • Ripple triples prime brokerage revenue • Secures full EU MiCA authorization • XRP Ledger surpasses 8 million accounts • ETF inflows mixed • Former CTO regrets early XRP sales • XRP classified as digital commodity by SEC and CFTC
• XRP price rises 5% toward $1.15 resistance with derivatives open interest near $2.4B • Ripple to release 1B XRP from escrow August 1 mostly re-locked • Institutional use of XRP Ledger grows with upgrades • Trading volumes fall sharply in South Korea and Binance amid cautious sentiment • Ripple revenue triples YoY as RLUSD stablecoin gains • Price outlook hinges on US regulatory clarity and ETF demand